TY  - BOOK
AU  - Silver,Nate
TI  - The signal and the noise: why most predictions fail but some don't 
SN  - 9781594204111
AV  - CB158 .S54 2012
U1  - 519.5/42 23
PY  - 2012///
CY  - New York
PB  - Penguin Press
KW  - Forecasting
KW  - Methodology
KW  - History
KW  - Bayesian statistical decision theory
KW  - Knowledge, Theory of
KW  - sears
KW  - Theory of knowledge
N1  - Includes bibliographical references and index
N2  - The founder of FiveThirtyEight.com challenges myths about predictions in subjects ranging from the financial market and weather to sports and politics, profiling the world of prediction to explain how to distinguish true signals from hype
ER  -