The signal and the noise : why most predictions fail but some don't /

Silver, Nate, 1978-

The signal and the noise : why most predictions fail but some don't / Nate Silver. - pages cm.

Includes bibliographical references and index.

The founder of FiveThirtyEight.com challenges myths about predictions in subjects ranging from the financial market and weather to sports and politics, profiling the world of prediction to explain how to distinguish true signals from hype.

9781594204111

2012027308


Forecasting.
Forecasting--Methodology.
Forecasting--History.
Bayesian statistical decision theory.
Knowledge, Theory of.
Forecasting.
Forecasting--Methodology.
Forecasting--History.
Theory of knowledge.

CB158 / .S54 2012

519.5/42 519.5